RavenGraph models the market as a living graph of stocks, sectors, macro and commodities. The graph is the asset.
A shock enters the graph at its origin and cascades through calibrated edges — weights and lags learned from history. Pick a scenario, set the severity, scrub the timeline.
A +8.0% crude shock prices a -2.7% move into DAL within ~26 minutes — down through the airline cluster, before the tape reflects it.
Price, volume, a handful of factors — one ticker at a time. The relationships between assets — who leads, who follows, how a shock spreads — never enter the model. That structure is where the edge is.
Each ticker modeled alone — moving on its own clock.
One move, propagating through the structure.
Today’s AI trades by reasoning over price series and headlines. It can read that oil spiked — then it infers the consequences from scratch, every time. The graph makes propagation explicit: who leads, who follows, at what lag. It is the world model the whole system reasons over, not something re-derived from text on every call.
“A fund that scales like a software company.”Agents run the research and every strategy reads the same graph — AUM grows without growing the team.
Up ~38% year-to-date, roughly 26 points ahead of the S&P 500. Live trading, on a small own book.
Live on Hyperliquid in a pilot with Avant Protocol, our DeFi design partner. Micro-size, with performance shared weekly.
Still in build — the core bet, and the hard part. Today’s results come from the baseline model.